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Where will it (Offshoring) finally end ?


My question was posed to the tall bespectacled Mckinsey panelist at a CNBC Talk Show on IT Enabled Services in Mumbai.





I was of course referring to the logical climax of the Offsourcing process.

What would be the final path of the offshore flight ?

Would it continue to fly, or crash-land into oblivion ?

"This is one of the two most common questions I get asked", he replied. "If you look at Forrester's estimates, they talk of a total of 3.3 Million Jobs that will get outsourced Offshore."

Of course, estimates vary.

The January 2004 Issue of Bloomberg Markets the US Markets Monthly Magazine had a lead story " India : Where the Jobs Are. "

This article quotes Salaries of US 136 Billion $ risked by 2015 due to Offshoring.

In the same issue, another article by their Tokyo based columnist titled " Don't Ignore India" urges global investors to look at India as an investment destination, more closely.



Where will it end up ?

I do not know.

Neither do many of us.

Can History teach us something ?

Let us began where it all started, 65 Million years ago, the crucible of the human evolution.

"By now it is common knowledge that the impact of an asteroid or comet brought the age of dinosaurs to an abrupt end...." began an article in the December 2003 issue of Scientific American magazine.




The 180 kilometer diameter Chicxulub Crater near the waters of the Gulf of Mexico was the site believed to be the impact location of this explosion which released 100 Trillion Tons of TNT on earth.

The article further stated " A World Lost, A World Remade....

New Ecosystems resulted in New Robust Architectures....

The world after the Chicxulub impact event looked, smelled and even sounded different...



The impact ...lead to the development of our own species.

...In this sense, the Chicxulub crater is the crucible of human evolution. "

Andrew Grove, Intel Founder in his book " Only the Paranoid Survive " talks about 'Strategic Inflection Points' or 'SIP', the forces which cause massive turmoil when all rules of business shift fast, furiously and forever.

He calls the Internet as such a 'SIP', a massive 10X (10 Multiplied by a Factor ) force.

The Net has impacted the world.

Maybe not as much as a 100 Trillion Ton TNT Impact.

But, something has changed forever.

"...New robust Architectures will emerge...."

We all remain eternal optimists.

Postscript : Guess which was the other location on the planet impacted 65 Million years ago, besides the Chicxulub crater ?

Answer : Ironically, the place on the opposite side of the planet... farthest away from the Chicxulub crater..... India.





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Updated on 27th November 2008
Posted on 21st February 2005

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